What?
This is a new prediction item on Polymarket, and it’s highly unlikely.
As far as we know, Donald Trump will remain in office after July 31. Currently, there are no active Constitutional removal processes, resignations, or successful invocations of the 25th Amendment that have begun removing the president from office.
Frankly, we’re surprised as many as 2 percent of those betting are wagering on it.
Perhaps some think that when a Federal Judge recently blocked an Executive Order regarding Federal Voter Lists earlier this month, Trump would concede the midterm elections to the Democrats and vacate office before they can successfully impeach him? However, if Democrats do gain control over one or both Houses following the midterm elections, they would still be short of the number of votes needed to remove him from office.
The odds against Trump leaving office prior to July 31, 2026, are huge. At this moment, a $10 bet would return $519.45.
And maybe that’s why a few folks are wagering. He’s 80 years old and overweight, so they are probably betting on stroke or heart attack and, for the money, like the odds. Nevertheless, Polymarket should try to steer away from this type of betting.
